Sunday, October 4, 2009

JG's NFL Week 4 Picks

Although it may seem the NFL season started just yesterday, most teams will be done with 25% of their season at day's end. After those wonderful words of wisdom, it's time for the picks.

Tennessee (-3) @Jacksonville- The Titans slim playoff hopes ride entirely on this game. As hard as it is to make the playoffs after starting 0-3, the season is pretty much over at 0-4. Tennessee avoids a season ending situation with a big day from Chris Johnson. If the Jaguars key in on Chris, Kerry Collins needs to distribute the ball to Justin Gage and Nate Washington. The Titans take this one in Jacksonville.

Titans 21- Jaguars-17

Cincinnati (-6.5) @Cleveland- Cleveland has been outscored this year 95-29. The truly sad part is that their new starting QB Derek Anderson won the job by throwing three picks against the Ravens. Cincy on the other hand is a tipped ball away from being 3-0. So WHO DEY, WHO DEY, WHO DEY THINK GONNA BEAT THEM BENGALS...well definitely not the Browns.

Bengals 28- Browns 14

Tampa Bay (+8) @Washington- The 26th and 27th scoring offenses faceoff in Landover. Raheem Morris pulled the plug on former H.D. Woodson star Byron Leftwich, meaning that Josh Johnson (no, not the Marlins pitcher) will start for the Bucs. This ugly game will go the Redskins, although their offense will not be able to cover the eight points.

Redskins 17- Buccaneers 10

New York Giants (-9) @Kansas City- The Chiefs' offense, even with Matt Cassel, has looked helpless. The number two ranked Giants D won't make it any easier for Larry Johnson's crew this week.

Giants 24- Chiefs 14

Detroit (+10) @Chicago- Chicago may look hot at 2-1, but in each of their victories they were bailed out by "idiot kickers." Detroit is riding its first wave of momentum in over a year into the Windy City. Matt Stafford is progressing each week. Kevin Smith is coming off of two good games and if he can go today he will be a huge factor for the Lions. The Bears will still get the W though but will not cover the ten points.

Bears 23- Lions 20

Baltimore (+1.5) @New England- The matchup of the weekend goes to the Patriots. The Pats looked sloppy last week but were still able to beat a good Falcons team. Look for the Pats offense to truly get on the same page this week. New England wins a close one.

Patriots 28- Ravens 27

Oakland (+8.5) @Houston- Jamarcus Russell currently owns a 39.8 quarterback rating. In the words of my good friend Zeke Sprague, "Jamarcus is like the guys in the longest drive competitions, they can smack the golf ball and it looks great, but they can't put it together on a real course. Just like Jamarcus, who can throw the ball with perfect spin 60 yards on his knees, but can't seem to make anything happen in game time."

Texans 31- Raiders 17

Seattle (+10) @Indianapolis- Indy struggled with putting teams away in the first two weeks, barely squeaking out wins over the Jags and Dolphins. Last week though, they left no doubt as they punished the Cardinals 31-10. Pierre Garcon continues to impress filling in for Anthony Gonzalez. The Seahawks have not looked bad but it is hard for me to pick the Seneca Wallace lead Hawks to cover.

Colts 31- Seahawks 20

New York Jets (+7.5) @New Orleans- There is no questioning how good the Saints offense is, but 7.5 points is far too many to give to the stingy Jets. Rex Ryan has the Jets D playing in your face football on every single play. Mark Sanchez is doing just enough to get the job done. Give me the J-E-T-S JETS JETS JETS in the straight up win.

Jets 28- Saints 27

Buffalo (PK) @Miami-In an old fashion pick 'em, the Bills and the Dolphins battle at Landshark Stadium. Chad Pennington was lost for the season last week (clearly a plan to win yet another comeback player of the year award next year) so the dolphins will turn to another Chad, Chad Henne. In limited time last week Henne did not look good. T.O. will have a big day after being held catch less.

Bills 20- Dolphins 17

Dallas (-3) @Denver- This week may be the beginning of the Broncos downfall. They have beaten two bad teams and one o.k. team on a lucky tip. Dallas has received a lot of criticism early but it is somewhat unfair. The Cowboys are 2-1 and in their one loss they were very close to knocking off a good team. The Boys coast in this one.

Dallas 35- Denver 17

St Louis (+9.5) @San Francisco- The 49ers were beaten on a Brett Favre miracle pass to Greg Lewis last week. Unfortunately for the lowly Rams, the 49ers will take out all of their fury on them. San Fran takes down the former perennial NFC West champs in commanding fashion.

49ers 28- Rams 10

San Diego (+6.5) @Pittsburgh- Football Night in America features two teams that always seem to shine in the spotlight. The Steelers are a surprising 1-2, with losses against the Bears and Bengals. The Steelers are able to avoid falling to a crippling 1-3, but the Chargers put up a good enough fight to cover on Sunday Night.

Pittsburgh 21- San Diego 17

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